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After conquering most of Scotland in the biggest national election landslide of the 21st century, the question of what the SNP do with their new support, their new constituencies and their new seats in Westminster remains an enigma… for both the public and themselves.
The SNP of course want independence for Scotland eventually but there are cracks starting to appear in their framework over the question of when this should come about. A lot of attention has been put on Labour’s divisions in recent weeks but there are also divisions among the 56 in Westminster and the 64 in Holyrood.
One of the issues creating disagreement between Sturgeon and Salmond and Robertson is that they’ve reached the top of the hill and do not know which way to go now. Do they go down the Left wing (at least in appearance) policies of Sturgeon as a main priority. Or do the SNP go with Salmond’s ideals that it must be independence no matter what the cost, even going back on your word of a once in a generation referendum. You’ll find these two figures starting to distance themselves from each other.
If they do decide to go with Sturgeon then the SNP will have a political war on three fronts (Leaving out the greens who I feel are starting to realise that they are getting nothing out of this friendship). This will be very difficult for the SNP as Scotland is a very diverse country, in every sense of the word. The SNP have won the seats in the central belt; places like Renfrewshire, Edinburgh and Labour’s heartland city of Glasgow, but they’ve also claimed victory in Perthshire, Angus, Moray and Banff and Buchan which are traditionally Conservative safe seats where the Tory voters always come second and number in their tens of thousands (Thus the reason for the questioning of Sturgeon and her policies earlier) and in the highlands where the Localism of the Lib Dems has made the highest points of UK gold for many decades. This is the metaphorical hill I spoke of earlier. The SNP cannot publically appease everyone because of Scotland’s political diversity and the fact that they’ve put themselves into a corner as the Tory hating, Labour bashing, no compromise party.
So the prediction I make will be that the Conservative ground will be the first to give way due to the fact that the SNP spent all this time posing as a left of centre party and so they will want to stay there. And in a matter of hours, the infamous panda joke will now move to be used against the Lib Dems and Labour solely as portions of Scotland will be shaded Blue once again for the first time in decades.
Of course this has no evidence of happening in the near future, but it will happen eventually, most likely by the next general election. Not necessarily in the order or party I predicted, but it will happen.
The SNP are bleeding support to Corbyn because for once in a long time, people have the option to vote against austerity without having to support independence
I think this will damage the SNP permanently in the long run. And maybe this will make the right wing of the SNP take over, making it apparent that Nicola Sturgeon is a prisoner to her own back benchers.
The tartan tory part of the party never left, they just had makeup applied to them by the leftwingers.
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